In conversations with acquaintances, I notice that the prevailing opinion is that we will not get rid of the coronavirus epidemic in the short term. So, one way or another, we will be faced with it for years to come. There are many reasons, including the unwise suppression of facts by governments, which makes people simply unable to understand certain scientific facts and certain prospects for the future.
The whole thing is very similar to the technique of the Nazis, who promised the inmates a warm shower and disinfection, but in reality they were taking them to the gas cells. This seems to be the way our rulers communicate. Not only ours, but most governments in Europe and the world. Epidemiologists and many others cover up what the sparrows on the rooftops are already chirping. That the genie of the virus is out of the bottle and that in the future we will be faced with a multitude of virus mutations, which will one way or another limit the once known normality. That's why nobody mentions it lately of the African strain of the virus. The latter "disappeared" all of a sudden, even though, according to projections, it is among Slovenia 5 and 8 percent, and the so-called Scottish (English) strain is said to be already dominant. Anyone who is aware that there is no effective vaccine against the African strain of the virus knows what time it is and where the train is heading again. And the so-called African strain is not the only problematic one that scientists have discovered in recent days. A few days ago, a mutation was identified that combines the properties of the African and English strains of the virus, the latter is much modified and has the potential for much higher mortality, just because of the properties in common combination. Mutations are because of exceptional presence in the ecosystem exponential. It means that it will be necessary to adjust vaccines practically every two to three months, if we allow such a presence of the virus in the ecosystem itself. So more virus, more mutations, more variants for which there is no vaccine or it needs to be adapted.
No one wants general panic
The essential question that arises for me is how the authorities should explain to the people that the quarantine is not being introduced because of the death of the elderly or the endangerment of this population, but because of the general potential of the danger of the spread of the virus, which may result in this virus becoming more dangerous and we will everyone died after him. Both young and old, like our children. Namely, as you may have noticed in our "mainstream" media, we have once more people in the intensive than in the first or second wave. The patients in the third wave are younger and the course of the disease is worse or needs intensive care 20 percent accepted to hospitals, while some time ago this percentage was only 10 percent. But of course, these are data that cry out to be understood, but the media simply do not know how to convey them clearly enough to the population. Or maybe they are not allowed, or even don't want to disclose it to the public. Of course, because people shouldn't be scared. Because they are tired of the epidemic. Or because someone does not want to prepare them for the new reality of a long-term fight against the virus, which we will not finish this year.
This quarantine is just an experiment
The quarantine that follows in the next few days is only a statistical experiment that will give scientists some minimal answers on how to react in the event of a greater danger or in the event of a danger that would cause a more deadly version of the virus. A phrase that everyone avoids so much, but it's a fact that we have to accept. In the case of the latter, the data of this study would indicate what effect everything has on the dynamics of the spread of the virus and how long it would take to contain the virus. The equation will get some answers. At the same time, this experiment buys beds that fill faster than in the first and second waves. It is a kind of braking when grinding down a slope. It is clear that we will not stop and we are only preventing the worst possible scenario. Although it is already clear to us that it will be black in any case. To all of us who have our eyes open to what is happening around us.
SARS-CoV-2 surprises scientists
Evolution is a very interesting thing that allows "organisms" and viruses to survive. And the SARS-CoV-2 virus has proven to be extremely scientifically interesting. Put simply: the English version is somewhere in between 60 and 70 percent more infectious, meaning it attaches more easily to the cell. The African version, on the other hand, has the ability to hide from the body's defense response and thus spread more easily. If these two viruses have a "child", or a mutation occurs where several "such" mutations are present, the virus will definitely be more successful in the fight against the host organism. And it is precisely this type of combination that scientists, i.e. virologists, are most afraid of. And since the virus replicates exponentially, the possibility of such more lethal variants is statistically more and more possible. Perhaps for comparison: if in the past we waited for new versions for quite a "some" time, now due to the presence of the virus they can happen on a monthly, weekly and even daily basis.
How to end the pandemic in three weeks and live normally again
The solution is not in vaccines. At least not with the number of virus mutations at this moment. The solution lies in eradicating the virus from the environment. So, preventing the spread of the virus through the population, which would require an extraordinary but short-term change in lifestyle. As long as the virus does not jump from person to person, i.e. from host to host, it has no chance of surviving. Which also applies to the animal world. The solution is therefore extremely simple and almost obvious. The only way to eradicate the virus is a three-week to one-month coordinated global "lockdown", where the presence of the virus in the environment would be nullified, as it would not have the potential to spread and we would succeed in eradicating it in this way. This "lockdown" should be a model of China, Singapore and New Zealand, where countries, with the help of the military, completely stopped all public life for a certain period and in this way completely limited the virus. Still, in all likelihood, some measures would remain that would be necessary for years to come so that the virus would not have a chance to spread. Thus, social distancing should be mandated for years to come. And this in modern democratic world it won't all happen until the virus mutations become too dangerous and mean a higher statistical probability of death than it currently is. There is only one question to be asked - would you be prepared to close for three weeks if the SARS-CoV-2 virus had an 8% mortality rate, as SARS has for example? The answer is completely logical. Of course, to give up personal freedom to enable survival 160,000 Slovenians. Now let's paraphrase this question! Would you be willing to shut down for three weeks to get back to normal life? Here, too, the answer is completely logical, but unfortunately completely impractical in the modern world. Politics and the world will simply not be able to accept this agreement. Therefore, the end of civilization as we know it seems much more likely. And that's why it might be time to accept the new normal.
Maybe another sub-question! What is more dangerous? A virus that has a 10% mortality rate and we eradicate it immediately, or a virus that has a 2% mortality rate and lasts for years, causing wars, famines and the collapse of civilization as we know it? Both are very dangerous in my eyes. But our COVID-19, a virus that is relatively harmless for most, is more devastating.
